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For many decades, Whitehall has deceived itself and deceived the public about the true nature of the E.U. project.

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The E.U. has narrowed our horizons. It has narrowed everyone's horizons in Whitehall so they're not thinking about the big things in the world. They're not thinking about the forces changing it or what Britain can really do to contribute to them.

Abstracting human wisdom into models often works better than relying on human experts as models are often more consistent and less noisy.

Victoria Woodcock ran Vote Leave - she was a truly awesome project manager and without her Cameron would certainly have won.

In the commercial world, big companies mostly die within a few decades because they cannot maintain an internal system to keep them aligned to reality plus startups pop up.

Fundamental to real expertise is 1: whether the informational structure of the environment is sufficiently regular that it's possible to make good predictions and 2: does it allow high quality feedback and therefore error-correction.

If you think of politics as 'serious people focusing seriously on the most important questions,' which is the default mode of most educated people and the media (but not the less-educated public which has better instincts), then your model of reality is badly wrong.

I want people to understand the barriers to serious government in order that more people take action.

In the political world, big established failing systems control the rules, suck in more and more resources rather than go bust, make it almost impossible for startups to contribute and so on.

Discussion of politics and government almost totally ignores the concept of training people to update their opinions in response to new evidence - i.e adapt to feedback.

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For many decades, Whitehall has deceived itself and deceived the public about the true nature of the E.U. project.

For many decades, Whitehall has deceived itself and deceived the public about the true nature of the E.U. project.

For many decades, Whitehall has deceived itself and deceived the public about the true nature of the E.U. project.

For many decades, Whitehall has deceived itself and deceived the public about the true nature of the E.U. project.

For many decades, Whitehall has deceived itself and deceived the public about the true nature of the E.U. project.

For many decades, Whitehall has deceived itself and deceived the public about the true nature of the E.U. project.

For many decades, Whitehall has deceived itself and deceived the public about the true nature of the E.U. project.

For many decades, Whitehall has deceived itself and deceived the public about the true nature of the E.U. project.

For many decades, Whitehall has deceived itself and deceived the public about the true nature of the E.U. project.

For many decades, Whitehall has deceived itself and deceived the public about the true nature of the E.U. project.

For many decades, Whitehall has deceived itself and deceived the public about the true nature of the E.U. project.

For many decades, Whitehall has deceived itself and deceived the public about the true nature of the E.U. project.

For many decades, Whitehall has deceived itself and deceived the public about the true nature of the E.U. project.

For many decades, Whitehall has deceived itself and deceived the public about the true nature of the E.U. project.

For many decades, Whitehall has deceived itself and deceived the public about the true nature of the E.U. project.